Gustav is expected to strengthen within the next 48 hours. I wouldn't surprised to wake up Saturday morning to a Cat 3 in the Yucatan Channel. Once Gustav moves past Jamaica and Cuba I expected the forward motion
to increase through the open Gulf.
One thing I have continued to look at is the focus on the performance in the Pacific/East Asia. Usually we can line things up with t
he Gulf Coast and forecast the strength of trough/ridge 7-9 days out. Today we are only 5 days out from Gustav's landfall but we can still track the motion across the Pacific Ocean.
This system moving across is another additive to show me a ridge effecting the Eastern US by Tueseday/Wednesday.
Initial perspective still leans me to forecast landfall in SE TX and SW LA. High risk areas include Houston, TX through LaFayette, LA.