Monday, September 8, 2008

9/08 Ike Update

As we have discussed this past weekend, Ike's track has slowly moved westward. The NHC has released a track tonight with a landfall around Corpus Christi, TX, on Saturday evening. I am not surprised with their new track b/c most of the models have moved through Texas all day. One interesting note, several models have Ike taking a NNW track into the Eastern Gulf before taking a hard left westward towards Texas. The strong turn to the west is a rare output from most models, but it is amazing to see solid agreement between the GFS, GFDL, and HWRF.

This new track for Ike is a relief to many here in MS, but we certainly do not wish Ike on anybody. Ike can easily drop to a tropical storm by tomorrow, but the Gulf will provide ample strengthening to see a strong Hurricane make landfall by the weekend. Of course, Dolly disturbed South Texas earlier in the season as a Cat 2 before landfall.

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