Wednesday, October 8, 2008

AB Day: Absolutely Beautiful

This was a beautiful day. After the front moved through Hattiesburg/Laurel at 5am this morning our dewpoint temps dropped into the 50s allowing a very pleasant sunrise and rest of the day. At PIB Airport we never saw a reading higher than 73°, which is about 9° below our average high temperature for this time of year. Wow! I'll take it.

And for the remainder of the week our fair weather friend, a high pressure system, moves into the Southeast US. This is good news for those wanting to enjoy a weekend outside. Although our temperatures will definitely be more seasonable by Friday with highs in the lower 80s and up to about 84/85.
My eye is caught on our next major front. The GFS, which often moves fronts too far south too quickly, has backed off a bit on the intensity for us, but we will see some influence of this front by Sunday or Monday. More moisture will be able to filter back into Mississippi by Sunday. After we see an increase in moisture I'll be waiting around for the front to move through. Right now the European Model shows 850 temps starting to lower by Wednesday morning, but the Canadian Model's spaghetti plot isn't very confident in the exact placement of the trough by Mid-week. Tuesday through Thursday seems to be my range of days for my forecast of frontal movement, but many things are still "up in the air."

Right now my best guess looks more at the European with a Wednesday influence of the front, and rainfall will probably fall along the same day. No matter what actually happens, I'm banking on a front moving through the Pine Belt by Thursday afternoon.

No comments: