Like we've discussed multiple times in our weathercast, Invest 92L will be a threat to the East Coast. Many early model runs predicted the storm to follow a similar track as Hurricane Bill, but I must lean on the strong ECMWF (otherwise known as European) model. This model continues to prove it's high ranking in tropical guidance. It was the first model to nail Bill's track, and I think many folks can agree on it's track of Invest 92 at this point. ECMWF has Invest 92 farther west into North Carolina and Maryland on Saturday morning.
Also, I expect Invest 92 to become a depression by Thursday, and some intensity models forecast tropical storm Danny by Friday.
Why trust a crazy model named ECMWF? Well it's proved itself multiple times. Now lets define the model...
The ECMWF stands for the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. It is supported by 31 European states. The main purpose of the model is to provide forecast 3 to 10 days for both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.
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