Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Strong Front becomes stronger in West.

The clouds are becoming partly cloudy across the region after steady rainfall this morning. Also, the small Low aiding in the development of the rain is beginning to move northward to clear out of the area. I might have to raise the afternoon temp a degree since we are in a clear knotch in the middle of the system.

We will clear ourselves of any rainfall in the state this afternoon, but some moisture will be left behind as only slight cool air will drift in for a night. The setup will allow the opportunity to form fog, which I imagine will be around Wednesday morning. The fog will also play a tricky role in the overnight Low and tomorrow's high.

I'm expecting a very nice return flow from the gulf after tonight. So Wednesday and Thursday will be on the warm side. The chances for rain on Thursday still exist ahead of the front, but I've considerably dropped the rain chances for Thursday with the association of the High Pressure off the coast of Georgia/Florida. The Ridge (high) will walk east by Friday to allow the penetration of a strong cold front into South Mississippi.

Rain is likely on Friday afternoon/evening, but the best dynamics for Severe weather seems to be to the North of us with a very strong Upper jet streak diverting air aloft. Also, the system will move through very quickly according to model consensus so I expect a dry Saturday with only seasonal temps.

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