Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow

Here is a portion I copied from the latest NWS Storm Prediction Center who has placed us under a slight risk of severe weather on Wednesday for the Central Gulf Coast.

...LWR MS RVR VLY/GULF COAST...
ANOTHER POTENTIAL MAXIMUM IN SVR RISKS WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LWR MS RVR VLY/GULF COAST. CONVECTION IS APT TO BE OCCURRING AT
THE START OF THE PERIOD OVER THE CNTRL GULF COAST REGION AS HIGHER
PW AIR MASS GRADUALLY ADVECTS NWD. HEATING/DEGREE OF
SFC-DESTABILIZATION IS IN QUESTION DUE TO PERSISTENT CLOUDS/PCPN.
BUT...INCREASING ASCENT IN THE EXIT REGION OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL
JET COULD RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN SVR POTENTIAL DURING THE AFTN/EVE
FROM PARTS OF THE UPR TX COAST EWD. AMPLE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL EXIST
TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITHIN LARGER-SCALE TSTM CLUSTERS. HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES FOR SVR WEATHER APPEAR TO BE DURING THE LATE
AFTN/OVERNIGHT FROM SRN LA TO PERHAPS THE FAR WRN FL PNHDL.
HERE
...SRN FRINGES OF THE WARM-ADVECTION DERIVED STORMS WILL LIKELY
BE ROOTED CLOSER TO THE SFC AMIDST RETURN OF HIGHER QUALITY BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE.

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