Still watching the tropics closely!

A strong tropical wave continues westward through the west central Caribbean Sea this morning and could be showing some signs of intensification. The National Hurricane Center now gives it a moderate chance of developing as it moves into more favorable environmental conditions over the western Carribean over the next 48 hours. Many computer forecast models are now picking up on the feature. One model even bring it to the southeast coast of Louisiana on Monday as a strong tropical storm. It is way to early to specualate on where the storm will go or how strong it will be before an actual low pressure center develops with the wave. After this happens, if it does happen, then we will get a much better handle on the future track and intensity of it. I will continue to monitor the system and gives further updates as i get them. Rex