After early morning storms in the Pine Belt the atmosphere is reloading at midday. Temps have already reached a muggy 70 degrees as plenty of moisture is streaming in here. Don't be over anxious because I believe the next round of storms in South Mississippi will develop again late tonight.
A noticeable amount of dry air is a key in today's event. The small popcorn showers happening now are having trouble growing because of the dry layer in the atmosphere. Some people relate this to a "loaded gun" mentality because the instability is present but the atmosphere is waiting to overcome the inversion. Big storms will be allowed to form after the inversion is overcome, but this might not happen until 8pm and/or later.
I've already steadily repeated this morning our total rain situation. Most of the rain in the Deep South will take place in Alabama, but we could still potential record from 0.50" to 1.00" in the Pine Belt. (Birmingham already has over 2" for the day!)
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