Friday, February 26, 2010

Discussion on Tonight and Monday

Active weather report tonight so let's get moving.

Tonight a well circulating Low Pressure system is running through the lower mississippi river valley. Instability is very low with the progression of the system, but we could still have the occassional rumble of thunder along the way. The movement of the low is east with a southerly component. This will actually keep us from getting heavy amounts of rain, but I can still expect near 0.50" for the region. Folks along the coast could see closer to an inch.

This system will clear quickly going into Saturday, and allow Sunday for plenty of sunshine along an upper level ridge. A ridge that will be sharp and brief.

Our next trough (low) will begin to influence our weather on Monday. The ridge will be kicked east by a progressing upper level low and surface low along the northern gulf. Typically, a low along the gulf delivers a shot of snow and wintry mix in Mississippi, but we need to be careful with this idea. Computer models are probably going to perform poorly since snow on March 1 is abnormal, and most are calling for all rain on Monday. Will this be all rain or end with wintry mix/snow? At this point, I believe we could find snowfall without accumulation late Monday night. Best chance of any accumulation should be found farther Norther near central MS.

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