Sunday, June 7, 2009

Forecast and Tropics Overview

A look into this week's forecast...We start by seeing a shift in the wind. The wind shift is key in finding more moisture via a southerly flow from the Gulf. The pull is started by the HIGH shifting east into Alabama/Georgia and it's clockwise wind flow. The next step in our weather pattern drops us inbetween two systems. The high will claim property to our East, but a Low (Trough) will stir convection (showers) to our Northwest. Meanwhile, the more dominate HIGH will keep us dry for a majority of the week. On Friday, the Low to our Northwest will finally try to swing a weak front into South Mississippi, but the rain chances are still very low. North Mississippi seems more certain for scattered thunderstorms, but our picture south of the I-20 border is unlikely. TROPICS: Some mild convection is popping up in the Western Caribbean, but no tropical development is expected in the next 48 hours. The Caribbean system has the opportunity to develop later in the week, and some models show the circulation moving towards Florida by next week. Stay with us for tropical discussion.

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