Thursday, July 22, 2010

The tropics work in mysterious ways !!!

When I went on air this morning at 5:30 AM the tropical disturbance that we have been tracking in the southeastern Bahamas was only given a 40% chance of developing. When the new information from the National Hurricane Center arrived at 7:00 AM everything had totally changed !! Now the NHC is giving the system a 70% chance of developing into a depression or storm at anytime during the next 48 hours. An aircraft will investigate the system this afternoon to determine what is going on down there. Many of the reliable computer models take the system into the northern gulf over the next five days. Please keep in mind the tropical storm intensity forecasts aren't very good even during these days of great technological tools that are used. My advice is to stay tuned !!!! Rex

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