Sunday, July 19, 2009

Sunday's Pine Belt Weather Discussion

Wonderful dewpoint temperature in the 50s today made it feel much drier and comfortable. Some folks even felt like it was the start of college football season weather, but, even though it's not football season, we will cherish the drier weather days here in mid-July. After an above normal June, we are experiencing a below normal July. Over the last 2 weeks we have average slightly below normal for this time of year.
Our dry weather will continue into tomorrow morning with overnight lows dipping into the upper 50's for some in South Mississippi. Tomorrow afternoon I'll be watching for the atmosphere to slowly moisten, and some models are producing some light showers as well for tomorrow. My wording in the forecast will be "showers unlikely tomorrow but becoming more likely by Wednesday."
What's happening in the tropics? Invest 97 that I talked about yesterday did strengthen overnight, but it is still labeled a tropical wave. Even though the system has become a little more impressive in the last 24 hours, most tropical forecast models do not show any low pressure system within the next 5 days. I realize the computer models can change their forecast, but I'm still leaning on a very low chance Invest 97 turns into a tropical storm before midweek.

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