Sunday, January 17, 2010

Sunday Night's Discussion

Well the cool and cloudy day wasn't the best outcome for many folks. I'm sure a few cloudy days makes us look forward to the sunshine, and I expect to begin seeing the sun as the day progresses tomorrow. Mostly cloudy skies will make way to partly cloudy conditions by the evening, and temperatures should top out in the lower 60's.

Monday and Tuesday are temperature forecast days where lower to mid 60's will be expected. Also, overnight lows will be in the 40's.

The atmosphere will deliver a good SW flow aloft and pull in significant moisture by Wednesday. Monday and Tuesday are basically going to setup for the cold front passage on Wednesday evening. The front on Wednesday could deliver nearly 2" with thunderstorms embedded along the front line. Instability will be greater during the midweek event compared to past Saturday's rain event. So we should expect higher rain totals.

Extended Forecast thoughts:
I was able to glimpse into the long range forecast. Looks like some variables are backing another shot of colder air into Mississippi around February 1st and 2nd. Ensemble forecast on support oscillations driving cold canadian air down the Mississippi River Valley. I wouldn't be expecting a carbon copy of what we experienced to start January, but we have a very good chance to be below average to start the month of February.

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