Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Tuesday's Discussion

So long to bright sunny days during the next 48 hours. Still the same picture with the cold front on Thursday, but I'll detail tomorrow's forecast first.

Tomorrow most of the rain totals will be found in the Delta and SW portion of MS, but we can still find some scattered showers in the area. The potential is still available for the shower location to record high localized amounts near 1" but a majority of the Pine Belt shouldn't see this.

The cold front looks to barrel through the Pine Belt in the afternoon on Thursday. Instability still looks low ahead of the front. My only concern is to read from climatology and notice most winter season severe weather events occur with low instability parameters. The deepening surface Low in Arkansas/Missouri will create plenty of rotation in the atmosphere so it's a situtation I'll detail more in depth tomorrow. Definitely a situation to keep an eye on.

Rain totals could be near 2" but most should see near 1".

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